且任何太空冲突都不可能停留在常规战争范畴内,几乎必然是核战争的组成部分或序幕。大国针对对手太空资产的打击不可能隐蔽,必将招致压倒性报复。
“核战争打不赢,也绝不能打。”这是冷战核军备竞赛换来的沉痛共识,五个核武器国家至今仍在官方层面坚持这一原则——至少在纸面上如此。
值得注意的是,冷战时期尽管两大超级大国存在数十年尖锐地缘对抗,仍能在和平太空探索领域开展合作,其中最具代表性的就是“阿波罗-联盟测试计划”——人类历史上首次国际载人航天任务。
极具讽刺意味的是,即便冷战时期的对抗双方都有智慧避免的太空武器化进程,如今却正在我们眼前上演。在牛顿坦言无法测算人类疯狂的三百年后,这份疯狂已经抵达星空。沿这条自我毁灭的道路前行,已不只是战略失误——这是我们亲手制造的末日情景。
(翻页查看英文)
Whatever Trump claims, weaponisation of space makes losers of us all
When the US Space Force announced on September 14 that “the US has on-orbit space control weapons capable of defending the Joint Force against hostile adversary action”, I thought of Isaac Newton’s well-known declaration that he could not calculate the madness of people.
are congested and contested with many nations conducting military activities, such as surveillance and reconnaissance, early missile warning, satellite communications and navigation. While the United States stands alone with an independent Space Force as a full separate service, many other states such as China, Russia, Britain, France and Japan have built dedicated space combat organisations.
However, none of them has publicly acknowledged deploying on-orbit space weapons, unwilling to face the global backlash against turning outer space into a battlefield. The 1967 Outer Space Treaty already bans nuclear weapons in space. Deploying any other weapon will also draw widespread international criticism.